Snow Day Probability Formula:
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The Snow Day Percentage Calculator estimates the probability of a snow day based on snowfall amount, ice accumulation, and temperature. It helps schools, businesses, and individuals prepare for winter weather disruptions.
The calculator uses the following formula:
Where:
Explanation: The formula weights ice more heavily than snow (20x vs 10x) and accounts for temperature effects, with colder temperatures increasing the snow day probability.
Details: Accurate snow day prediction helps schools make timely closure decisions, allows businesses to plan for reduced staffing, and helps families prepare for potential home days.
Tips: Enter snowfall and ice amounts in inches, temperature in Fahrenheit. For best results, use measurements from official weather reports.
Q1: What percentage typically results in school closures?
A: Most schools consider closure when the probability exceeds 70%, though this varies by district.
Q2: How accurate is this calculator?
A: It provides a general estimate but doesn't account for all factors like road conditions or local policies.
Q3: Should I use current or forecasted temperatures?
A: For morning decisions, use the forecasted morning low temperature.
Q4: Does wind chill affect the calculation?
A: This calculator uses actual temperature only. Extreme wind chills may warrant additional consideration.
Q5: What time of day should I check?
A: Check early morning (5-6 AM) for most accurate current conditions.